The Calculus of Protecting Interstate Competition from Cyberattack
By Vaughn H. Standley, Roxanne B. Everetts
| December 09, 2019
Lethal conflict may be approximated using power law statistics which, on a log-log plot of exceedance probability (EP) versus severity, is characterized by constant slope -q. Values of q1 and allows for the use of Bayesian hypothesis tests based on q to serve as a decision criterion about when to react to threats, leading to a set of parameters that determine whether conflict will escalate and to the conclusion that redundant networks, deterrence, and attack detection stabilize competition against cyber conflict. Examples of the importance of the Bayesian parameters in creating and adapting networks to stabilize competition are provided.
The Calculus of Protecting Interstate Competition from Cyberattack