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News | Dec. 5, 2023

CISA – The Future of Cyber Weather Forecasting

By Lt. Col. John Childress

Cybersecurity is like the weather on a summer day; you can see out of your win-dow—just like you can see into your network—but you can’t see the storm on the other side of the mountain without a network of stations reporting what they can see. This analogy could be useful in thinking about forecasting for cyberse¬curity. This approach to cybersecurity—developing a “cyber-weather forecaster” —would enable defenders to see, predict and deal with threats in the same way that the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast helps us decide whether to bring an umbrella or leave it at home. As CISA’s Joint Cyber Defense Collaborative (JCDC) matures, developing “cyber weather forecasters” would provide an important improvement in gaining visibility into our networks and conducting predictive analysis.

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