Seeing is Believing: Quantifying and Visualizing Offensive Cyber Operations Risk
By Major Michael Klipstein, Ph.D.
| April 30, 2019
This paper presents an integration of decision-maker preferences, quantitative risk analysis, and simulation modeling to aid commanders in choosing a course of action (COA) for conducting offensive cyber operations (OCO). It incorporates information from subject matter experts (SMEs) to parameterize a simulation model which provides decision support to mission planners when evaluating different COAs. The methodology is exercised and evaluated by cyberwarfare practitioners.
Seeing is Believing: Quantifying and Visualizing Offensive Cyber Operations Risk